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IMF F&D Analysis: Why Economic Growth Has Not Reduced Working Hours

A new analysis published in the IMF’s Finance & Development magazine, finds that economic growth alone does not reduce working hours, highlighting the role of labour-market institutions, education systems, retirement arrangements, and female workforce participation in shaping how societies work

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Key Details

The IMF analysis challenges the long-held assumption that rising prosperity naturally produces shorter workweeks, suggesting that policy choices and labour-market institutions play a much larger role in determining working-time outcomes.

Indicator

Finding

Dataset

Covers 160 countries representing 97% of the global population

Global Employment

59% of adults aged 15+ are employed

Average Working Time

Employed individuals work 43 hours per week globally

India

Employed individuals work more than 45 hours per week on average

Gender Gap

Men account for two-thirds of global paid working hours

Historical Trend

Prime-age working time has remained broadly stable despite rising productivity

Core Finding

Economic growth does not automatically reduce working hours

Policy Insight

Labour regulations and institutions matter more than income levels alone


Summary

Growth Has Not Produced the Leisure Society Many Expected

A new Finance & Development analysis by economists Amory Gethin and Emmanuel Saez examines working-time patterns across 160 countries using a newly assembled database built from ILO and World Bank survey data. Covering 97% of the world’s population, the study revisits a long-standing economic prediction associated with John Maynard Keynes—that technological progress and rising prosperity would eventually produce dramatically shorter workweeks.

The authors find little evidence that economic growth alone leads to sustained reductions in working hours. Instead, working-time patterns have remained remarkably stable across generations despite major increases in productivityand income.

Who Works Matters as Much as How Long People Work

Globally, 59% of adults aged 15 and above are employed, while employed individuals work an average of 43 hours per week. Labour participation follows a predictable life-cycle pattern, rising sharply during prime working yearsand declining after retirement age.

The study also finds significant gender differences. Men account for roughly two-thirds of global paid working hours, while women account for one-third. However, this gap is driven primarily by lower female employment ratesrather than differences in hours worked among those already employed.

As countries develop, male working hours tend to decline modestly while female participation in paid employmentrises, gradually reducing gender disparities in labour-market engagement.

Institutions Shape Working-Time Outcomes

One of the paper’s central findings is that working-time patterns are shaped more by institutions than by income levels. Countries with shorter workweeks generally combine stronger labour regulations, paid leave systems, retirement arrangements, and formal employment protections.

The authors show that the apparent relationship between higher taxes and shorter working hours largely disappears once labour-market regulations are taken into account. In other words, legal and institutional frameworks matter more than income alone in determining how much societies work.

The India Context

The analysis identifies India and Pakistan among countries where employed individuals work more than 45 hours per week on average.

The paper links these longer working hours to structural economic transformation, expanding labour demand, and the relatively limited reach of formal labour protections across large segments of the workforce. The findings suggest that future changes in working-time patterns are likely to depend not only on economic growth but also on labour-market institutions, formalisation, and workforce participation trends.


What is a "Structural Transformation" in Labor Economics?

A structural transformation in labor economics describes a major macroeconomic process where an expanding economy shifts its primary output and workforce allocation away from low-productivity subsistence agriculture toward high-density manufacturing, modern industrial production, and urban service sectors. As millions of workers migrate out of rural, weather-dependent farming jobs into formal or semi-formal urban enterprises, the economy experiences a sharp spike in labor demand. In public policy planning, managing this transition is a high priority because it temporarily causes longer working hours and requires massive investments in transport infrastructure and automated machinery to convert raw labor inputs into long-term industrial efficiency.


Policy Relevance

  • Working-Time Outcomes Are Institutional Outcomes: The study suggests that economic growth alone is unlikely to improve work-life balance. Labour regulations, paid leave provisions, retirement systems, and workplace protections play a more direct role in shaping working-time outcomes.

  • Female Workforce Participation Remains a Major Policy Lever: A significant share of global differences in working-time patterns is linked to labour-force participation rather than hours worked by employed individuals. Expanding women’s participation in formal employment therefore remains important for both economic growth and labour-market inclusion.

  • Education Continues to Influence Labour-Market Behaviour: The analysis finds that reductions in teenage working time are closely associated with expanded access to secondary education. This reinforces the importance of education policy as a labour-market intervention rather than solely a social-sector objective.

  • Formalisation May Shape Future Working Conditions: As India continues implementing labour codes, expanding e-Shram registration, and increasing formal employment coverage, labour-market institutions are likely to play a growing role in determining working conditions, overtime practices, and workforce welfare.

  • Growth and Worker Well-Being Should Not Be Treated as the Same Outcome: The paper highlights that rising productivity and rising incomes do not automatically translate into shorter workweeks or improved work-life balance. Policymakers may therefore need to evaluate labour-market outcomes using measures beyond employment and output growth alone.


Follow the Full Analysis Here: How Much Does the World Work?

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